CAF Champions Last 16
Global 1-3
Zanaco vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
67.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zanaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MBA
0 - 0
ZAN
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ZAN
3 - 2
MBA
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NKA
1 - 3
ZAN
55%
25%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ZAN
2 - 2
ROA
51%
26%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
ZAN
1 - 0
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
PIR
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
PIR
1 - 1
BLO
48%
28%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DJA
0 - 4
PIR
6%
14%
80%
|
73 | 8 | 65 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
SWA
3 - 2
PIR
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MAL
4 - 1
PIR
15%
20%
65%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | -1 |