CAF Champions Last 16
Global 1-6
Zanaco vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zanaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
NAT
0 - 1
ZAN
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 0
ZAN
86%
10%
4%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | -3 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
ZAN
1 - 0
LIK
44%
24%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
LIK
0 - 0
ZAN
58%
21%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
POW
0 - 2
ZAN
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 0
ZAN
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ESP
4 - 1
CAB
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
OLY
1 - 2
ESP
36%
31%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 0
USM
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
REN
1 - 2
ESP
12%
21%
67%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | 0 |