Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-2
Zamora CF vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
COM
1 - 2
ZAM
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
ZAM
2 - 1
BUR
40%
27%
32%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
BUR
2 - 1
ZAM
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
ATH
2 - 1
ZAM
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ALG
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
MAJ
0 - 3
ALC
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
AVI
2 - 1
ALC
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 1
UPL
62%
22%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
LUG
1 - 2
ALC
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
RMC
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |