Venezuelan Cup Final
Global 3-3
Zamora FC vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
MON
3 - 2
ZAM
34%
25%
40%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
ZAM
2 - 1
APC
53%
23%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ZAM
3 - 1
TRU
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
APC
1 - 1
ZAM
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
APC
2 - 2
ZAM
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
MON
3 - 2
ZAM
34%
25%
40%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
MET
0 - 2
MON
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LAL
1 - 1
MON
26%
24%
51%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
MET
48%
24%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |