Venezuelan Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Zamora FC vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
TAC
1 - 1
ZAM
35%
25%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ZUL
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 1
TAC
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
APC
2 - 1
ZAM
15%
20%
65%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 2
ZAM
23%
23%
54%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
URE
2 - 1
LLA
33%
26%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FRO
2 - 1
LLA
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 1
URE
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 1
FAL
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TIT
0 - 0
LLA
27%
26%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |