Zamora FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 1
MIR
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
YAR
1 - 1
ZAM
19%
25%
56%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ZAM
29%
29%
42%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ZAM
2 - 1
CFC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
ZAM
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
EST
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
EST
0 - 2
ARA
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
EST
0 - 2
MIR
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 1
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
TUC
63%
23%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |