Zamora FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
TRU
0 - 0
ZAM
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TAC
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 0
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 0
ZAM
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MON
2 - 3
ZAM
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
ARA
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
ZUL
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
EST
41%
25%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
EST
4 - 1
CFC
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +2 |