Primera División Venezolana Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Zamora FC vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 1
ZAM
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 2
TRU
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ANZ
2 - 4
ZAM
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
ZAM
4 - 0
MET
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
URE
2 - 5
ZAM
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 1
ZAM
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
CFC
0 - 0
LLA
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TRU
1 - 0
CFC
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
CFC
2 - 1
ANZ
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MET
1 - 3
CFC
19%
28%
54%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | +1 |