Venezuelan Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Zamora FC vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 1
ZAM
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
ZAM
1 - 2
TAC
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MET
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
TAC
0 - 2
ZAM
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
ZAM
1 - 1
LAR
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 2
CFC
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
EST
0 - 0
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ZUL
1 - 2
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |