Zamora FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
ZAM
1 - 1
MIN
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
ZAM
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
ZAM
2 - 0
UCV
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
ZAM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
ZAM
2 - 0
EST
54%
24%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
ZUL
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 3
ARA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
EST
41%
29%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
APC
2 - 1
ARA
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 0
BAR
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |