Zamora FC vs Aragua FC analysis

Zamora FC Aragua FC
68 ELO 64
2.7% Tilt -8.6%
1857º General ELO ranking 13998º
14º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
58.4%
Zamora FC
22.4%
Draw
19.2%
Aragua FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
Zamora FC
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.2%
Win probability
Aragua FC
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zamora FC
-9%
-3%
Aragua FC

ELO progression

Zamora FC
Aragua FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zamora FC
Zamora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2019
ZAM
Zamora FC
2 - 1
Carabobo
CAR
52%
24%
24%
67 66 1 0
20 Oct. 2019
TAC
Deportivo Táchira
1 - 1
Zamora FC
ZAM
58%
22%
20%
67 71 4 0
17 Oct. 2019
ZAM
Zamora FC
1 - 2
Deportivo Táchira
TAC
47%
25%
28%
68 70 2 -1
14 Oct. 2019
ZAM
Zamora FC
3 - 0
Metropolitanos
MET
54%
23%
23%
67 64 3 +1
10 Oct. 2019
TAC
Deportivo Táchira
0 - 2
Zamora FC
ZAM
63%
21%
16%
66 72 6 +1

Matches

Aragua FC
Aragua FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2019
ARA
Aragua FC
2 - 2
Deportivo Lara
LAR
28%
27%
45%
63 69 6 0
13 Oct. 2019
LLA
Llaneros de Guanare
1 - 0
Aragua FC
ARA
28%
25%
47%
64 55 9 -1
06 Oct. 2019
ARA
Aragua FC
0 - 0
La Guaira
DEP
28%
27%
44%
64 70 6 0
02 Oct. 2019
ZUL
Zulia FC
0 - 2
Aragua FC
ARA
60%
23%
17%
63 69 6 +1
28 Sep. 2019
LAL
LALA
0 - 1
Aragua FC
ARA
21%
23%
55%
63 50 13 0