Zamora FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
ZAM
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ZAM
4 - 0
ATL
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ATM
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
ZAM
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 1
TUC
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ZUL
3 - 0
ARA
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 3
CFC
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARA
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
LLA
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TRU
2 - 0
ARA
55%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |