Zamora FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 0
ZAM
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ZAM
2 - 3
ARA
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ZAM
4 - 1
ITA
72%
16%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 2
ZAM
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 2
TRU
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 4
ZUL
30%
26%
45%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ZAM
2 - 3
ARA
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
DEP
2 - 3
ARA
46%
24%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ARA
0 - 1
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
EST
0 - 2
ARA
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +2 |