Zambia U20 vs Senegal U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 0
RSA
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
3 - 1
EGY
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
6 - 1
MLI
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 0
GUI
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MWI
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
SEN
1 - 0
GUI
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 0
CMR
40%
25%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
RSA
3 - 4
SEN
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
SEN
1 - 1
SDN
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
GHA
1 - 0
SEN
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |