Zambia U20 vs Portugal U20 analysis

Zambia U20 Portugal U20
55 ELO 67
2.4% Tilt 2.7%
25442º General ELO ranking 14582º
30º Country ELO ranking 255º
ELO win probability
20.3%
Zambia U20
23.1%
Draw
56.6%
Portugal U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
Zambia U20
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.6%
Win probability
Portugal U20
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zambia U20
-13%
-13%
Portugal U20

ELO progression

Zambia U20
Portugal U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zambia U20
Zambia U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2017
ZAM
Zambia U20
4 - 1
Honduras U20
HND
28%
24%
49%
50 57 7 0
27 Mar. 2017
ZAM
Zambia U20
1 - 4
South Korea U20
KOR
18%
20%
63%
51 62 11 -1
25 Mar. 2017
ZAM
Zambia U20
2 - 0
Ecuador U20
ECU
28%
23%
49%
52 57 5 -1
12 Mar. 2017
ZAM
Zambia U20
2 - 0
Senegal U20
SEN
36%
25%
39%
51 54 3 +1
08 Mar. 2017
ZAM
Zambia U20
1 - 0
South Africa U20
RSA
37%
25%
38%
50 53 3 +1

Matches

Portugal U20
Portugal U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2017
POR
Portugal U20
2 - 1
USA U20
USA
47%
24%
29%
68 60 8 0
28 Mar. 2017
POR
Portugal U20
2 - 2
France U20
FRA
30%
24%
46%
68 73 5 0
25 Mar. 2017
POR
Portugal U20
0 - 3
Senegal U20
SEN
67%
20%
13%
69 52 17 -1
23 Mar. 2017
ENG
England U20
2 - 2
Portugal U20
POR
12%
17%
71%
70 53 17 -1
25 Jan. 2017
POR
Portugal U20
1 - 1
South Korea U20
KOR
59%
23%
19%
70 62 8 0