Zambia U20 vs Nigeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
73.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
URU
0 - 2
ZAM
90%
8%
2%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ESP
4%
14%
82%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
JOR
1 - 1
ZAM
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
ZAM
1 - 5
BRA
7%
18%
74%
|
39 | 81 | 42 | +4 |
| 08 Apr. 1999 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ESP
9%
20%
72%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
JPN
0 - 0
NGA
48%
24%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
SCO
0 - 2
NGA
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
NGA
1 - 0
CRC
45%
24%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
ARG
2 - 1
NGA
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 3
NGA
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |