Zambia U20 vs Spain U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.3%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.8%
81.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
18.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
14.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
JOR
1 - 1
ZAM
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
ZAM
1 - 5
BRA
7%
18%
74%
|
37 | 80 | 43 | +5 |
| 08 Apr. 1999 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ESP
9%
20%
72%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
ZAM
4 - 3
HND
16%
24%
60%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +4 |
Matches
Spain U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 2
URU
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 1
CZE
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
ARG
3 - 1
ESP
61%
20%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2005 |
ESP
3 - 0
TUR
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2005 |
ESP
3 - 0
HND
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |