Zambia U20 vs Spain U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
71.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
ZAM
4 - 3
HND
16%
24%
60%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
ESP
2 - 0
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1999 |
ESP
2 - 1
GER
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1998 |
URU
0 - 2
ESP
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
CHI
2 - 3
ESP
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1998 |
ARG
2 - 1
ESP
72%
17%
10%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |