Zamalek vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 0
SMO
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2014 |
ZAM
0 - 0
WAD
68%
19%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
HEL
0 - 1
ZAM
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 0
PET
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 2
SMO
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
TPM
1 - 0
ZAM
44%
23%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
TPM
1 - 0
VCL
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
ALH
1 - 0
TPM
16%
24%
60%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
VCL
0 - 1
TPM
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
TPM
4 - 0
DBL
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |