Zamalek vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TPM
2 - 0
ZAM
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ALA
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
BER
3 - 2
ZAM
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 0
MAG
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAG
0 - 2
ZAM
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TPM
2 - 0
ZAM
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TPM
2 - 2
BER
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
NKO
0 - 3
TPM
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
TPM
5 - 0
MUU
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 1
TPM
57%
23%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |