CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 5-0
Zamalek vs Nkana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
4%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NKA
0 - 0
ZAM
8%
17%
75%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
ZAM
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ZAM
0 - 0
TEL
61%
24%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
KAB
0 - 0
ZAM
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 0
KAB
64%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nkana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NKA
0 - 0
ZAM
8%
17%
75%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
EAG
0 - 0
NKA
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
KCC
1 - 2
NKA
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NKA
2 - 2
KCC
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NKA
5 - 2
MBA
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |