Confederation Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-5
Zamalek vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
5 - 1
ZAM
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
ALA
0 - 2
ZAM
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
SMO
0 - 0
ZAM
29%
25%
47%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ZAM
4 - 1
PIR
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CSS
1 - 3
ZAM
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
5 - 1
ZAM
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
4 - 0
BEN
70%
21%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
2 - 0
ETO
52%
28%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
2 - 1
ESP
58%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -6 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
STA
3 - 4
ETO
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +2 |