CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-2
Zamalek vs Africa Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 0
YOU
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
YOU
1 - 1
ZAM
22%
22%
56%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
ENP
2 - 1
ZAM
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ELD
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ITT
0 - 2
ZAM
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Africa Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SEW
1 - 1
AFR
47%
30%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AFR
0 - 0
STE
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
AFR
51%
28%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AFR
2 - 0
MIS
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MIS
3 - 2
AFR
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |