CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-2
Zamalek vs Africa Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
ALA
2 - 0
ZAM
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2008 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ENP
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ZAM
2 - 0
APR
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
ITT
1 - 1
ZAM
34%
29%
36%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ZAM
1 - 0
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Africa Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
AFR
1 - 0
ISS
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
OUR
1 - 2
AFR
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 2
AFR
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AFR
3 - 0
TON
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
JCA
0 - 1
AFR
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +2 |