Lithuanian Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Stumbras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
ZAL
28%
25%
48%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ZAL
2 - 2
LIE
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UUT
0 - 1
ZAL
4%
17%
79%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | -6 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ZAL
3 - 2
SUD
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
STU
3 - 6
ZAL
14%
19%
68%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Stumbras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UUT
1 - 0
STU
40%
26%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
STU
2 - 3
SUD
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
KZA
1 - 2
STU
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
3 - 2
STU
82%
14%
5%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
STU
3 - 6
ZAL
14%
19%
68%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -2 |