Zalgiris Vilnius vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
2º
6º
2º
35
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 2
ZAL
23%
23%
55%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 0
FCS
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
3 - 0
TRA
70%
20%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 4
ZAL
11%
21%
68%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
KZA
2 - 5
ZAL
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 2
SUD
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 1
HLI
32%
28%
39%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
KZA
1 - 1
SUD
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 0
TRA
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
SUD
23%
25%
51%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |