Lithuanian Cup Final
Global 2-2
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FKE
1 - 0
ZAL
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ZAL
4 - 0
SUD
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
KRU
0 - 1
ZAL
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ZAL
7 - 0
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 2
ZAL
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SUD
3 - 1
DAI
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ZAL
4 - 0
SUD
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SUD
4 - 1
FAS
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FKT
1 - 4
SUD
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SUD
3 - 1
FKE
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |