Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda Final
Global 5-2
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
TRA
0 - 0
ZAL
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
ZAL
2 - 0
NEV
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
DTE
0 - 3
ZAL
9%
18%
72%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
DAI
0 - 3
ZAL
9%
16%
75%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
SUD
0 - 2
ZAL
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
CLI
0 - 2
LIN
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
COL
1 - 1
LIN
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 2
LIN
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 3
LIN
36%
24%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 2
LAR
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |