Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 2-7
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
ZAL
2 - 0
FKE
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2000 |
FKK
2 - 2
ZAL
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2000 |
INK
0 - 8
ZAL
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
ZAL
2 - 0
NEV
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
FKP
1 - 6
ZAL
20%
25%
55%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
RCH
0 - 1
POG
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
GÓR
4 - 1
RCH
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
RCH
2 - 1
WLO
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
OWD
2 - 2
RCH
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2000 |
RCH
0 - 1
WAR
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |