Lithuanian Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kruoja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FKE
1 - 1
ZAL
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ZAL
1 - 0
DAI
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
ZAL
33%
24%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FKT
0 - 3
ZAL
10%
20%
71%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
ZAL
3 - 0
FKE
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kruoja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
KRU
2 - 4
SUD
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 3
KRU
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
FKP
1 - 4
KRU
11%
16%
73%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
KRU
1 - 0
FKE
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
DAI
1 - 1
KRU
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |