Zalgiris Vilnius vs FC Hegelmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
PYU
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 4
ZAL
6%
16%
77%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
PYU
2 - 0
ZAL
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
KZA
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 0
SUD
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KZA
1 - 1
HLI
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
HLI
0 - 0
PAN
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HLI
2 - 1
FAS
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DTE
0 - 1
HLI
17%
25%
58%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 0
HLI
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |