Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
41
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
ZAL
32%
26%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 5
ZAL
22%
25%
54%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 3
ZAL
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 1
DAI
69%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZAL
5 - 0
KZA
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 3
FAS
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
DTE
62%
24%
14%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
DTE
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 0
PAN
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
FKT
48%
28%
24%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |