Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
2º
6º
2º
25
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 4
FTC
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DAI
0 - 2
ZAL
14%
22%
65%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
HÄC
5 - 0
ZAL
58%
21%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 0
HLI
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 3
HÄC
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DTE
0 - 3
PAN
12%
24%
65%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
DTE
0 - 0
SUD
24%
23%
54%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 1
DTE
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
KZA
0 - 0
DTE
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DTE
1 - 1
SUD
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |