Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
2º
6º
2º
25
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 4
FTC
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DAI
0 - 2
ZAL
14%
22%
65%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
HÄC
5 - 0
ZAL
58%
21%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 0
HLI
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 3
HÄC
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DTE
0 - 3
PAN
12%
24%
65%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
DTE
0 - 0
SUD
24%
23%
54%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 1
DTE
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
KZA
0 - 0
DTE
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DTE
1 - 1
SUD
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |