Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dainava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
45
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZAL
5 - 0
KZA
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 1
HLI
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
BAN
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
ZAL
17%
25%
58%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
DTE
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dainava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 3
SUD
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 1
FKT
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DTE
0 - 2
DAI
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DAI
1 - 1
PAN
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 0
DAI
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |