UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 1-0
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
BUD
0 - 1
ZAL
35%
25%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
FBK
2 - 0
ZAL
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2002 |
ZAL
0 - 1
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2002 |
FKE
0 - 0
ZAL
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
ZAL
2 - 1
INK
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
BUD
0 - 1
ZAL
35%
25%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
BUD
3 - 1
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2002 |
BUD
2 - 0
DVS
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
BUD
1 - 1
SZO
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
SOP
3 - 3
BUD
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |