Lithuanian Cup Final
Global 1-0
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Atlantas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SUD
0 - 5
ZAL
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ZAL
4 - 2
BAN
69%
21%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
ZAL
13%
20%
68%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
KRU
0 - 0
ZAL
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
ZAL
2 - 0
FKE
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlantas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 1
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 0
KRU
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
ZAL
13%
20%
68%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FKE
1 - 2
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
6 - 1
DAI
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |