Zalgiris Vilnius vs Araks Ararat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
ZAL
1 - 2
FKK
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1998 |
ZAL
0 - 0
BBS
42%
23%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +3 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
BBS
1 - 0
ZAL
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1998 |
ZAL
1 - 0
IAA
45%
22%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 1998 |
IAA
3 - 2
ZAL
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Araks Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1999 |
ARA
3 - 1
SHI
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1999 |
SHI
0 - 1
ARA
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1999 |
ARA
5 - 1
DVI
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1999 |
ARA
1 - 0
ARA
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1999 |
ARA
1 - 2
ERE
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |