Žalgiris II vs Marijampolė City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
16º
15º
0
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 1
BAB
25%
22%
52%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 6
BFA
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 3
FKE
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 3
ZAL
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 2
ZAL
55%
21%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marijampolė City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
PAN
0 - 1
MCF
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 3
GKA
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 5
SIA
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MIN
3 - 2
MCF
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 1
MCF
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |