NK Zagreb vs Novigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ZAG
1 - 1
SOL
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BJE
4 - 0
ZAG
12%
20%
68%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
HNG
2 - 1
ZAG
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ZAG
3 - 1
NKR
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
IMO
2 - 3
ZAG
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
LUK
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
4 - 0
NKZ
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 2
RUD
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HNG
3 - 1
NOV
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
ZAG
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |