Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
NK Zagreb vs RFC Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1965 |
LIE
1 - 0
ZAG
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1964 |
ROM
1 - 0
ZAG
71%
16%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1964 |
ZAG
1 - 1
ROM
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
GRA
0 - 6
ZAG
44%
22%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1964 |
ZAG
3 - 2
GRA
54%
19%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
RFC Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
LIE
0 - 0
BRU
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
BER
1 - 3
LIE
33%
28%
40%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1965 |
LIE
1 - 0
ZAG
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
LIE
5 - 0
BER
49%
24%
26%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
STR
1 - 0
LIE
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |