Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 4-5
Zagreb XI vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagreb XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1959 |
ZAG
3 - 3
BIR
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 82 | 68 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1959 |
BIR
1 - 0
ZAG
89%
7%
4%
|
14 | 82 | 68 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1958 |
UJP
1 - 0
ZAG
81%
11%
8%
|
14 | 74 | 60 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1958 |
ZAG
4 - 2
UJP
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 74 | 62 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 1957 |
INT
4 - 0
ZAG
82%
11%
7%
|
12 | 83 | 71 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
36%
23%
41%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1960 |
LIE
0 - 3
FCB
14%
20%
66%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 0
RAC
95%
4%
1%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 0
LIE
95%
3%
1%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
BET
1 - 3
FCB
18%
22%
60%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |