Zagorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
67.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BOR
4 - 3
ZAG
11%
20%
69%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ZAG
4 - 0
VER
80%
14%
7%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ZAG
9 - 0
NES
74%
16%
9%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ROZ
1 - 1
ZAG
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
ZAG
2 - 1
HEB
19%
20%
61%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
LPL
2 - 2
MON
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FCT
0 - 3
LPL
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
LPL
0 - 0
ARK
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LPL
2 - 0
SEP
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BER
1 - 3
LPL
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |