Zagorets vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
60.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ZAG
4 - 1
SPA
83%
13%
5%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ZAG
6 - 1
LEV
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DIM
0 - 2
ZAG
9%
18%
72%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ZAG
3 - 0
ROD
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
FBK
0 - 5
ZAG
7%
13%
80%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
HEB
2 - 1
SOZ
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SEP
2 - 3
HEB
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HEB
4 - 0
YAN
78%
14%
7%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
HEB
5 - 2
SEP
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
HEB
3 - 0
STR
60%
22%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |