Zagorec vs NK Trnje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
15º
14º
34
10º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
MZL
4 - 3
ZAG
54%
25%
22%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ZAG
2 - 2
NKR
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 3
ZAG
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ZAG
2 - 1
OPA
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
ZAG
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
NK Trnje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
TRN
0 - 3
NKG
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 1
TRN
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TRN
0 - 2
DUG
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TRN
0 - 1
MZL
30%
27%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NKR
5 - 3
TRN
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |