Zaglebie Lubin vs Puszcza Niepolomice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
11º
18º
16º
8
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 56 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 55 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 52 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 52 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 51 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 50 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 45 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
4.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 41 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 41 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 40 |
17º
|
8% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 38 |
18º
|
17% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 41.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 2
POG
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
ZAL
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 1
GKS
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
NKN
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
0 - 1
RAP
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Puszcza Niepolomice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 2
GÓR
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
PUS
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 1
TER
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 1
POD
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
LKS
0 - 0
PUS
38%
24%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |