Cup Final
Global 3-6
Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisła Płock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
WAR
1 - 0
ZAL
53%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
ZAL
2 - 0
PLO
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
WIS
2 - 0
ZAL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
GÓR
2 - 2
ZAL
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
ZAL
2 - 0
AMI
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wisła Płock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
GOR
2 - 1
PLO
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
ZAL
2 - 0
PLO
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
PLO
0 - 1
WAR
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
WIS
4 - 0
PLO
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
PLO
1 - 0
GÓR
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |