Zaglebie Lubin vs Motor Lublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
16º
16º
29
7º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 63 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 47 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 40 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 36 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 30 |
18º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
37.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
WLO
2 - 0
ZAL
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 0
SLA
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
WAR
0 - 3
ZAL
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 2
ZAL
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 3
JAG
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 0
TER
39%
25%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
PGL
2 - 3
MOT
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 2
POG
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CRA
6 - 2
MOT
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 4
WLO
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |