UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 1-2
Zaglebie Lubin vs Dinaburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
ZAL
0 - 1
KSZ
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
GÓR
3 - 1
ZAL
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
ZAL
1 - 2
SLA
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
RAD
0 - 3
ZAL
34%
28%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ZAL
3 - 1
STO
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2002 |
VEN
2 - 0
DIN
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2002 |
FCS
2 - 1
DIN
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
DIN
2 - 0
FKR
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2002 |
AUD
2 - 1
DIN
17%
23%
60%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
DIN
1 - 0
FCD
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |