Zagłębie Lubin II vs Rekord Bielsko Biała analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
15º
18º
15º
17
12º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
13% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
67.5% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagłębie Lubin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
ZAG
52%
24%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
5 - 1
ZAG
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
0 - 0
ZAG
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
HUT
4 - 1
ZAG
51%
22%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
ZAG
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rekord Bielsko Biała
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REK
2 - 3
RES
36%
26%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
5 - 1
REK
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
REK
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REK
1 - 2
ZAG
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 0
REK
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |