Europa League 1/32
Global 2-6
Zagłębie Sosnowiec vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
ZAG
2 - 0
ENE
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
LPO
2 - 1
ZAG
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
VST
6 - 1
ZAG
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1972 |
ZAG
1 - 1
POG
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1972 |
ZAG
0 - 3
ZAG
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
FAB
2 - 4
VST
30%
29%
41%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BEL
3 - 2
VST
24%
30%
47%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
VST
6 - 1
ZAG
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
VST
5 - 0
FCB
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
BEL
0 - 0
VST
23%
30%
48%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |